Explore the FC Dallas vs St. Louis City prediction for their July 20, 2025, MLS clash at Toyota Stadium. Discover key factors, player insights, and our expert prediction for this exciting Western Conference matchup.

Match Preview

FC Dallas host St. Louis City at Toyota Stadium on July 20, 2025, in a Western Conference MLS showdown. FC Dallas, sitting 10th with 19 points, are coming off a 3-3 draw against FC Cincinnati, showing resilience despite a late collapse. Luciano Acosta (six goals, five assists) and Petar Musa (four goals) lead a potent attack, but their defense has been inconsistent, conceding in five straight games. St. Louis City, languishing in 13th with 14 points, parted ways with coach Olof Mellberg after a 3-0 loss to Portland Timbers, marking their third straight defeat. Under interim coach John Hackworth, they rely on João Klauss (five goals) for attacking spark, but their league-worst defense (2.1 goals conceded per game) remains a concern. Head-to-head, the teams are tied with two wins each and one draw in five meetings, with Dallas winning 2-0 in their last encounter on June 16, 2024, at Toyota Stadium.

Key Factors

FC Dallas’ Home Advantage: Dallas have a strong home record, averaging 1.7 points per game at Toyota Stadium and scoring in 71.43% of home matches with over 1.5 goals. Maarten Paes’ goalkeeping (six saves in their last home game) adds stability.

St. Louis’ Defensive Woes: St. Louis have conceded 12 goals in their last six games, with injuries to Joakim Nilsson and Rasmus Alm weakening their backline. Their away form is dismal, with no road wins this season and 1.5 goals conceded per game.

Tactical Battle: Dallas’ attacking style, driven by Acosta’s playmaking and Musa’s finishing, should exploit St. Louis’ fragile defense. St. Louis’ counter-attacking approach, led by Klauss, could capitalize on Dallas’ defensive lapses, but their lack of cohesion under new management may hinder them.

Prediction

FC Dallas’ home form and attacking firepower give them the edge over a struggling St. Louis City side. Despite Dallas’ defensive inconsistencies, St. Louis’ injury-hit squad and poor away record make an upset unlikely. Expect a competitive match, with Dallas securing a 2-1 victory, as both teams are likely to score due to St. Louis’ attacking threat and Dallas’ recent defensive leaks.

Final Prediction: FC Dallas Win

Note: Predictions are based on current form and available information but are not guaranteed.