Dive into the Seattle Sounders FC vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction for their July 20, 2025, MLS clash at Lumen Field. Uncover key factors, player insights, and our expert prediction for this Western Conference showdown.

Match Preview

Seattle Sounders FC host San Jose Earthquakes at Lumen Field on July 20, 2025, in a Western Conference MLS matchup. The Sounders, sitting 6th with 30 points, are in strong form, unbeaten in their last four home games, including a 2-0 win over Sporting Kansas City. Albert Rusnák and Jordan Morris have been pivotal, with Rusnák scoring five goals and Morris adding three in their last five matches. San Jose, languishing in 14th with 14 points, suffered a 4-1 loss to Minnesota United, highlighting their defensive woes (MLS-worst 78 goals conceded last season). Despite Cristian Espinoza’s creativity (three assists this season), the Earthquakes have lost three of their last five away games. Historically, San Jose hold a slight edge (14-13-13 in 40 meetings), but Seattle won 2-0 in their last encounter at Lumen Field on September 18, 2024, with goals from Jackson Ragen and Paul Rothrock.

Key Factors

Seattle’s Home Dominance: The Sounders have won six of their last seven MLS home games, averaging 2.07 goals per game this season. Their defense, the best in the West (32 goals conceded), led by Stefan Frei and Jackson Ragen, should stifle San Jose’s attack.

San Jose’s Defensive Struggles: The Earthquakes have conceded 2.2 goals per game on the road, with injuries to Benjamin Kikanović and Hernán López weakening their squad. Espinoza and Josef Martínez remain threats, but their defense is vulnerable against Seattle’s pace.

Tactical Battle: Brian Schmetzer’s Sounders will leverage their high-pressing 4-2-3-1, with Rusnák and Morris exploiting transitions. Bruce Arena’s Earthquakes will rely on Espinoza’s playmaking, but their depleted defense (missing Carlos Akapo) may struggle against Seattle’s wing play.

Prediction

Seattle’s superior home form and defensive solidity make them favorites, while San Jose’s attacking potential could keep the game close. The Sounders’ recent dominance at Lumen Field and San Jose’s defensive frailties point to a Seattle victory. Expect a 2-1 win for Seattle Sounders FC, with both teams scoring due to San Jose’s attacking threat and Seattle’s occasional lapses at the back.

Final Prediction: Seattle Sounders FC Win

Note: Predictions are based on current form and available information but are not guaranteed.