ForeSporty
Women's Euro
Jul 6, 2025
Norway
Norway
VS
Finland
Finland
Stade Tourbillon

Match Details

  • Teams: Norway Women vs. Finland Women
  • Competition: UEFA Women’s Euro 2025, Group A, Matchday 2
  • Date and Time: Sunday, July 6, 2025
  • Venue: Stade de Tourbillon, Sion, Switzerland

Team Form and Recent Performances

Norway Women

Recent Form: Norway started their Euro 2025 campaign with a 2-1 comeback win over hosts Switzerland, despite a lackluster first half. They trailed 1-0 at halftime but rallied with Ada Hegerberg’s equalizer and a Swiss own goal by Julia Stierli. Norway have won two of their last three competitive matches, including two Nations League victories over Switzerland in 2025. Their only loss in the last five games was a 1-0 defeat to the Netherlands in Nations League play.

Key Performers:

Ada Hegerberg: Scored her 50th international goal against Switzerland and is a focal point of the attack, despite missing a penalty in that match. She’s backed at 3/1 to score anytime against Finland.

Caroline Graham Hansen: Moved to the wing in the second half against Switzerland, her pace and one-on-one ability opened up the game. She’s a major threat with 46 international goals.

Guro Reiten: Provided an assist in a 4-0 qualifying win over Finland in April 2024 and remains a key creative force.

Maren Mjelde: Named MVP in the Switzerland match, the Everton defender provides stability at the back.

Tactical Setup: Under Gemma Grainger, Norway employ a 4-3-3 formation, relying on Hegerberg’s finishing, Graham Hansen’s flair, and Reiten’s playmaking. Their second-half adjustments against Switzerland, including moving Graham Hansen wide, suggest tactical flexibility.


Injuries/Suspensions
: Guro Bergsvand is out with an injury, replaced by Marthine Østenstad. No suspensions reported.


Predicted XI (4-3-3)
: Fiskerstrand; Bjelde, Mjelde, Hansen, Lund; Bøe Risa, Engen, Maanum; Graham Hansen, Hegerberg, Reiten.

Finland Women

Recent Form: Finland kicked off Euro 2025 with a 1-0 upset win over Iceland, capitalizing on a red card to Iceland’s Hildur Antonsdóttir. Katariina Kosola scored the decisive goal in the 70th minute. Finland are unbeaten in their last seven competitive matches (W4, D2, L1), including a 1-1 draw with Norway in July 2024. They’ve kept nine clean sheets in their last 11 competitive games, showcasing defensive solidity.

Key Performers:

Katariina Kosola: The match-winner against Iceland, her pace and finishing earned her the Player of the Match award.

Natalia Kuikka: A rock in central defense alongside Eva Nyström, who is one yellow card away from a suspension. Kuikka’s experience is vital.

Linda Sällström: Could make history with her ninth Euro finals appearance, tying Finland’s record. She’s a veteran presence up top.

Ria Öling: Nearly scored against Iceland and is a threat arriving late into the box with 11 international goals.

Tactical Setup: Marko Saloranta opts for a 4-4-1-1, emphasizing a compact defense and quick transitions. Kosola’s runs from midfield and Sällström’s hold-up play are key. They may add a third center-back to counter Norway’s attack.

Injuries/Suspensions: Adelina Engman is out with a thigh fracture, replaced by Anni Hartikainen. Eva Nyström risks suspension if booked. No other concerns.

Predicted XI (4-4-1-1): Koivunen; Koivisto, Kuikka, Nyström, Tynnilä; Kosola, Öling, Summanen, Siren; Sällström; Franssi.

Below is a detailed match analysis and prediction for the Norway Women vs. Finland Women match in the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 group stage, scheduled for July 6, 2025, at Stade de Tourbillon, Sion, Switzerland. This analysis incorporates recent team form, head-to-head records, key players, and tactical insights, drawing on provided web and X sources where relevant.




Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis

Overall Record: Norway are unbeaten in their last 24 matches against Finland (W20, D4), with Finland’s last win a 2-0 result in May 1988 during Euro qualifying.

Recent Encounters:

April 5, 2024: Norway won 4-0 at home in Euro 2025 qualifying, with goals from Celin Bizet Ildhusøy, Thea Bjelde, Elisabeth Terland, and Sophie Román Haug. Guro Reiten assisted.

July 12, 2024: The teams drew 1-1 in Finland, with Emma Koivisto’s stoppage-time equalizer canceling out Reiten’s early strike.

Match Analysis

  • Norway’s Strengths:
    • Star Power: Hegerberg, Graham Hansen, and Reiten form one of the tournament’s most potent attacking trios. Hegerberg’s 39 goals in her last 57 internationals highlight her threat.
    • H2H Dominance: Norway’s unbeaten run against Finland (24 matches) and 4-0 thrashing in 2024 give them a psychological edge.
    • Tactical Adjustments: Grainger’s halftime changes against Switzerland, including Graham Hansen’s positional switch, showed adaptability that could exploit Finland’s compact setup.
  • Norway’s Weaknesses:
    • Slow Starts: Norway struggled in the first half against Switzerland, managing only eight shots and needing a second-half rally. A similar start could give Finland hope.
    • Recent Euro Struggles: Group-stage exits in 2017 and 2022 (including an 8-0 loss to England) raise questions about their big-stage consistency.
  • Finland’s Strengths:
    • Defensive Solidity: Nine clean sheets in 11 competitive matches highlight their organized backline, led by Kuikka and Nyström.
    • Upset Potential: Their 1-0 win over Iceland, despite losing the xG battle (1.49 to 0.82), shows they can capitalize on limited chances.
    • Momentum: The Iceland victory, their first Euro win since 2009, boosts confidence. Kosola’s form adds dynamism.
  • Finland’s Weaknesses:
    • Squad Depth: Finland lack Norway’s individual quality and firepower, relying heavily on Kosola and Sällström for goals.
    • H2H Struggles: No wins against Norway in 24 matches and only one goal in their last five meetings suggest difficulty breaking through.
    • Disciplinary Risk: Nyström’s potential suspension could disrupt their defense if she’s booked.

Statistical Insights

  • Norway:
    • Scored 2 goals in their Euro opener (2-1 vs. Switzerland).
    • Unbeaten in 10 Euro group-stage matches (W6, D4) before 2017 and 2022 exits.
    • 70.3% chance of reaching the quarter-finals, per Opta (highest in Group A).
    • FIFA Ranking: 16th.
  • Finland:
    • Scored 1 goal in their Euro opener (1-0 vs. Iceland).
    • First Euro win since 2009; failed to advance from the group in 2013 and 2022.
    • 38.2% chance of reaching the quarter-finals, per Opta.
    • FIFA Ranking: 26th.
  • Both Teams to Score (BTS): Less likely (36% likelihood), given Finland’s defensive record and Norway’s dominance in recent H2Hs. Under 2.5 goals is predicted by some sources (e.g., 22Bet).
  • Expected Goals (xG): Norway had eight shots (xG not specified) against Switzerland, while Finland’s xG was 0.82 vs. Iceland’s 1.49, suggesting reliance on clinical finishing.

Prediction

This Nordic derby is pivotal for Group A’s top spot, with both teams on three points after opening wins. Norway’s superior squad depth, led by Hegerberg, Graham Hansen, and Reiten, gives them a clear edge, especially given their 24-match unbeaten streak against Finland. Their 4-0 win in April 2024 and tactical improvements against Switzerland suggest they can dominate if they start sharply. Finland’s defensive organization and recent upset over Iceland make them a tough opponent, but their lack of firepower and historical struggles against Norway (one goal in five meetings) limit their chances of an upset.

The Opta supercomputer favors Norway (70.3% quarter-final chance vs. Finland’s 38.2%), and betting odds list them as heavy favorites (4/11 to win Group A). Finland’s compact 4-4-1-1 may frustrate Norway early, potentially leading to a halftime draw (7/2 odds), but Norway’s quality should prevail. Expect a low-scoring game, as Finland’s nine clean sheets in 11 matches and Norway’s occasional slow starts suggest a tight contest. A Norwegian victory with under 2.5 goals is a likely outcome, aligning with sources like 22Bet and The Stats Zone.



Final Prediction: Norway Women 2-1 Finland Women

  • Norway to win

  • Ada Hegerberg to score anytime

  • Half-time draw, full-time Norway victory

  • Under 3.5 goals

  • Both Teams to Score: Yes

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