Match Details

Teams: Spain Women vs. Belgium Women
Competition: UEFA Women's Euro 2025, Group B
Date and Time: Monday, July 7, 2025, 6:00 PM CET

Team Form and Recent Performances

Spain Women

• Recent Form: Unbeaten in their last 10 matches (W9, D1), including a 5-0 thrashing of Portugal in their Euro 2025 opener. They won 3-2 and 5-1 against Belgium in 2025 Nations League matches.
• Key Performers:
  • Esther Gonzalez: Scored a brace against Portugal, netting 2 goals in 4 Euro matches.
  • Alexia Putellas: Midfield maestro with 1 goal and 16 Liga F goals last season.
  • Aitana Bonmatí: Likely to start after a substitute appearance, key for creativity.
• Tactical Setup: Montserrat Tomé’s 4-3-3 emphasizes possession (71% vs. Portugal) and fluid attacking play.
• Injuries/Suspensions: Alba Redondo (muscle, doubtful), Cata Coll (illness, questionable). No suspensions.

Belgium Women

• Recent Form: Lost 1-0 to Italy in their Euro opener, winning only 3 of their last 9 matches. They’ve scored in 8 of their last 10 games.
• Key Performers:
  • Tessa Wullaert: Belgium’s all-time top scorer (88 goals), with 5 shots against Italy.
  • Serhou Guirassy: In-form striker with 3 goals in the tournament.
  • Karim Adeyemi: Provides pace and creativity from wide areas.
• Tactical Setup: Elísabet Gunnarsdóttir’s 5-4-1 focuses on defensive solidity and counter-attacks.
• Injuries/Suspensions: No major injuries reported. Sari Kees risks suspension if booked.

Head-to-Head (H2H) Analysis

• Overall Record: Spain have won 8 of 10 meetings, with 2 draws and no Belgium wins since 2015.
• Recent Encounters: Spain won 3-2 (Feb 2025) and 5-1 (May 2025) in Nations League clashes.
• Key Trend: Spain have scored 34 goals in 10 matches against Belgium (3.4 per game), with both teams scoring in 57% of games.

Match Analysis

Spain’s Strengths:

• Attacking Firepower: Scored 8 goals against Belgium in two 2025 meetings, with Gonzalez and Putellas in top form.
• Dominance: Unbeaten in 6 H2H matches (W4, D2), with 22 shots and 4.2 xG vs. Portugal.
• Experience: Reigning World Cup and Nations League champions, ranked 2nd globally.

Spain’s Weaknesses:

• Only 2 clean sheets in their last 15 matches, vulnerable to counters.
• Potential absences of Redondo and Coll could impact depth.

Belgium’s Strengths:

• Counter-Attacking Threat: Wullaert’s finishing and pacey wing-backs (Janssens, Deloose) can exploit gaps.
• Resilience: Scored in 8 of their last 10 matches, with Wullaert a constant threat.

Belgium’s Weaknesses:

• Defensive Frailty: Conceded 5+ goals in 3 of their last 7 matches, including 5-1 to Spain.
• Poor H2H Record: No wins against Spain in 10 attempts, with a -28 goal difference.

Key Battles

• Aitana Bonmatí vs. Belgium’s Midfield: Bonmatí’s vision will test Belgium’s compact midfield, led by Vanhaevermaet.
• Esther Gonzalez vs. Belgium’s Defense: Gonzalez’s clinical finishing could exploit Belgium’s backline, especially Tysiak and Kees.
• Tessa Wullaert vs. Spain’s Defense: Wullaert’s ability to create from limited chances will be key for Belgium.

Statistical Insights

• Spain: 8 goals in 1 Euro match (5 vs. Portugal), conceding 0. 80.35% chance of winning (Sportytrader).
• Belgium: 0 goals in 1 Euro match, conceding 1. Scored 11 goals in 9 matches in 2025.
• Both Teams to Score (BTS): Occurred in 57% of H2H matches and 8 of Belgium’s last 10 games.

Prediction
Spain’s attacking prowess, led by Gonzalez and Putellas, and their dominant H2H record make them overwhelming favorites. Belgium’s counter-attacking threat via Wullaert could see them score, but their defensive vulnerabilities against Spain’s relentless attack (9 wins in 10 matches) suggest a comfortable victory for La Roja. A high-scoring game is likely, given Spain’s 4+ goals in 8 of their last 10 wins.

Final Prediction: Spain Women to win

• Spain Women 4-1 Belgium Women

• Spain to win with -2 handicap

• Both Teams to Score: Yes

• Esther Gonzalez to score anytime